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Crimea, the main target of Kiev’s strategy of attrition

On October 8, 2022, a truck bomb detonated part of the Kerch bridge.
Stringer/EPA/MAXPPP

Decryption – When the front is blocked, the military is adopting an alternative strategy of deep strike to eliminate its adversary.

strategic deterrence, on the front line, paralyzes the Ukrainian army. Hopes of success have been dashed for weeks. To break through Russian defense lines, it would need manpower and materiel to mine-clear and breach, which it does not have in sufficient numbers. Then the confrontation goes to the strategic level. “Because there was a shift Failure of counter-attack », confirms a French military source. Ukraine chooses to strike now”High value targets”, behind Russian and “in depth», weakening Russia over time and reducing its potential. Ukraine should take time to revive its forces and start the second phase of the war, which has been going on for almost two years. Time is crucial.

Crimea is the main target of this strategy of attrition. Since the beginning of the conflict, the Ukrainian General Staff believed that “center of gravity» The battle is located…

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