Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Former President John F. Kennedy’s nephew, It emerges as an unpredictable factor in the 2024 presidential election and causes uncertainty in a country accustomed to the traditional duel between Democrats and Republicans. His success in getting votes in two states signaled a potential shift in the American political landscape. inside A polarized political scene between two candidates who fail to convince all their partiesits figure By defying expectations To lure disgruntled voters Donald Trump and Joe Biden.
Current surveys reveal an unusual picture. By contesting as an independent candidate, managed to gain the attention and support of a significant segment of the electorate. He has the highest voter intention of any independent or third party candidate in more than three decades.
Kennedy edged out in Quinnipiac University polls last year Intention to vote 22% among registered voters. This result is significant, as the last independent candidate for the presidency received more than 20% support in polls conducted in an election year. Ross Parrott In 1992, who eventually won a remarkable 19% in the general election.
Meanwhile, a Reuters/Ipsos poll this month showed that Kennedy achieved an 18% voter turnout, Nearly ten points below Biden (29%) and Trump (30%) in scenarios that include other candidates. In other surveys that only measure Trump and Biden, the candidates are around 50%, with the advantage favoring Magnet.
Kennedy initially filed for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2023, but in In October last year, he took an unexpected turn by resigning from the party in which his last name is symbolic. And declares himself as an independent candidate. He argued that the The two-party political system is “corrupt” and “fixed”..
“The current rules were written by the two established political parties to protect themselves from competition,” the Kennedy campaign wrote in an email to potential supporters. “As it stands, the rules prevent independent candidates like me from giving voters an alternative to the status quo.”Because the requirements in some states make it nearly impossible to challenge the Republicans’ and Democrats’ “absolute control” of American politics.
Kennedy knows the difficulties independent candidates face. Getting access to the ballot in every state is a challenging and expensive process. He recently received the signatures needed to compete on the ballot in Utah (1,000 signatures) and New Hampshire (3,000 signatures) and announced the launch of a new political party last Tuesday. We the people (Nosotros El Pueblo) in California, with the goal of gathering the required 75,000 signatures and competing against Democratic and Republican candidates in that state.
His primary in California will be held on March 5 Along with more than a dozen other famous states “Super Tuesday”.
Thank you to our dedicated supporters and volunteers who made this great achievement possible. American democracy should be about more than choosing between two candidates appointed by shady institutions. #Kennedy24 https://t.co/FTot5J7KmA
— Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (@RobertKennedyJr.) January 24, 2024
A member of one of the country’s most famous Democratic dynasties, he is an environmental advocate and former US Senator and Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy’s son and Democratic President John F. Kennedy’s nephew; Both were murdered in 1960.
The candidate went viral during the pandemic for his support Conspiracy theories and their anti-vaccine stance.
Kennedy’s narrative includes a variety of ideas. It unites its followers A message of distrust in the media, corporations and governmentPresents himself as the only politician willing to “reveal the truth” according to his followers.
Considering his prominent last name, the candidacy could be unexpectedly impacted in November.
Although Trump or Biden will probably win the election, they both feel that way They lose the necessary votes Before Kennedy. However, it should not be surprising that an independent candidate attracts attention and can take a large share of the vote because both Biden and Trump have disapproval levels of around 50%.
In fact, he has the same unpopularity as Clinton and Trump in 2016 The least popular candidates for their party’s nomination in polling history. Therefore, it is also not surprising that other independent and third party candidates are considering joining the presidential race.
Despite his achievements, Kennedy still has a long way to go. It is unclear how many states he will be eligible for ballot access. Each state sets its own requirements, and the process of collecting signatures and clearing legal hurdles can be expensive for candidates who don’t have the support of the major parties.
However, his determination to challenge the status quo and offer voters an alternative resonated with those who wanted it. An alternative to traditional politics. There is an appeal of A. in it an outsider
Kennedy faced criticism and challenges. Trump’s allies conducted an investigation specifically designed to damage his reputation among potential conservative supporters. The Republican National Committee released a statement titled “Radical Democrat RFK Jr.,” detailing his history of espousing “liberal” views and conspiracy theories about Covid and previous presidential elections.
On the other hand, some of his family members issued a joint statement condemning his candidature, saying he was “dangerous” to the country. ““Bobby may share the same name as our father, but he does not share the same values, vision or judgment,” His siblings are Rory, Carrie, Joseph P. II and Kathleen Kennedy said in a statement.
Voters are not enthusiastic about that Biden-Trump rematch. A poll last week from NewsNation/Decision Desk Headquarters indicates that approx 75% (of 1,000 registered voters) were unenthusiastic about the prospect. Alternatives like Kennedy or a third party movement No labels (unlabeled), which would normally be unlikely options, see an opportunity.
No labels It is a political movement Founded about a decade ago and seems to be on the way to consolidating itself as a political party. Ballot access has been secured in 14 states and it wants to extend it to another 18 before the elections. However Does not campaign or have a candidateThe initiative lays the groundwork for a future candidate who can take advantage of this access in the November elections.
Kennedy’s candidacy raises fundamental questions about the future of the American political system. Can an Independent Candidate Really Influence a Presidential Election? What effect will it have on the dynamic between Democrats and Republicans? That remains to be seen.
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