He has predicted US election winners since 1984 and has now revealed who will win in 2024.

“The keys to the White House” are being handed over, predicting that President Biden currently holds a slight lead in a hypothetical 2024 matchup against former President Donald Trump.

via the New York Post

Alan Lichtman, an election forecaster who has correctly called almost every presidential election since 1984, developed a formula that is used to predict the next presidential election, and in many cases it has turned out to be accurate.

Lichtman’s “Keys to the White House” consists of 13 true or false questions that give a strong indication of who he believes will be named the winner in the fall election.

Each question is asked about two dueling nominees; If it is “true”, they are awarded a “key”, and if it is “false”, their opponent receives a point.

So far, Biden has five of the “keys,” while Trump has been able to capture about three, Lichtman revealed to MarketWatch.

Those five keys are still in play and there’s plenty of room for the former president to gain an advantage before November.

According to American University, where Lichtman teaches, the “keys” are: party mandate, controversy, power, third party, short-term economics, long-term economics, policy change, social unrest, scandal, foreign/military failure, foreign/military, success , Current Charisma, and Challenger Charisma.

Biden’s mandate gives him automatic points, which is key number 3.

While Robert F. While Kennedy Jr. met the requirements to appear on the ballot in Utah’s presidential election, Biden was given another “key” to state that there is no major third party or independent primary challenger.

The Democrat also found “keys” to ensure that “real per capita economic growth during the period equals or exceeds the average growth during the previous two terms,” ​​as well as to implement policy changes during his presidency.

Trump, however, received the number one key, which is awarded to the political party with a majority in the House of Representatives, corresponding to the Republican Party.

Read more at the New York Post