2023 is the hottest year on record, will 2024 be worse?

After the year 2023 which saw record temperatures, the year 2024 seems to be on track to be even warmer according to weather forecasts. An alarming situation that requires immediate action.

2023 is the hottest year on record worldwide

According to the European observatory, Copernicus, 2023 was the world’s hottest year on record. Indeed, the pre-industrial period (1850–1900) recorded a record number of days with temperatures exceeding 1.5 °C. ” The annual increase in global average temperature from 2022 to 2023 was exceptionally large », refers to the European service. Thus, and for the first time in history, every day of the year 2023 exceeded the average level for the period between 1850 and 1900 by at least 1°C. With a global average temperature of 14, 98°C, “ Every month from June to December in 2023 was warmer than the same month in any previous year », underlines the European Observatory.

In the month of September, ” Temperature deviations from the mean from 1991 to 2020 in the entire data set were greater than in any month of any year. » Harvest with 0.93°C higher than the reference period, suggests the European Institute. It is followed by the months of October, November and December which are only behind in terms of temperature difference compared to the average for the period between 1991 and 2020.

Year 2024 hotter than year 2023 according to weather forecast?

2024 could break last year’s heat record. In any case, the UN made this prediction last Friday. Indeed, the El Nino weather phenomenon is expected to continue this year, suggests the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), there is a more than 30% chance that the current year will be warmer than the last, and a nearly 100% chance that 2024 will be five years from now. The hottest in history. For his part, NASA climatologist Gavin Schmidt estimates that 2024 is likely to be warmer than 2023 “ 50% “

Faced with this, the UN is calling for urgent action to combat climate change, by reducing greenhouse gas emissions that ” The biggest challenge facing humanity », according to Celeste Saulo. In a report published in November, the WMO indicated that concentrations of gases responsible for the greenhouse effect rose sharply in 2023, reaching record levels during the previous year. ” Climate change is intensifying – and it is clearly due to human activities “, before recalling the urgency of acting, Celeste Saulo declared: ” We cannot afford to wait any longer. We are already acting, but we must do more and we must do it fast “