Cubedebate

Photo: Reuters.

Despite his confidence in being able to achieve this, the President of the United States, Joe Biden, faces signs in the electoral climate that will threaten his race towards re-election in 2024.

An analysis published by Gallup found that Biden’s approval rating and citizen satisfaction with the direction of the country, particularly the economy, are below levels associated with a successful candidacy seeking a second term.

Two Gallup analysts, Jeffrey M. In an analysis conducted by Jones and Megan Brennan, various indicators of Americans’ approval of the occupant of the Oval Office were reviewed.

According to his comments, Biden’s fate in the upcoming elections will be determined, among other factors, if voters’ criteria regarding the economy change, despite the fact that the president considers his agenda successful in that area.

For example, while the country’s inflation rate has already fallen from a peak of 9.1 percent reached in June 2022, it is still nearly double what it was in November 2020, and many people here continue to struggle with high prices.

An article in the Hispanic newspaper La Opinion noted that all presidents with an approval rating of 50 percent or higher near Election Day have been reelected.

George W. Those with approval ratings below 50 percent lost, with the exception of Bush, who won four more years in the executive mansion with 48 percent approval in the last 2004 Gallup pre-election poll. That year at the end of October, he recalled. Biden currently has a job approval rating of 41 percent, the lowest among other incumbents seeking a second term in an election year cut in January.

Stopping the loss of Palestinian life in Gaza and ceasing to arm Israel are also necessary conditions for a change in the position of sections of the electorate, a column in Democracy Now mentions when the president is likely to lose re-election.

At the same time, polls show Hispanic and younger voters showing a declining trend in their support for Biden, which could be worrying for the Democratic Party, as these are part of the key demographic groups that fueled his victory in the November 2020 election. .

In recent days the lid was put on the knee by a damning report by a special prosecutor that exonerated him of blame over the investigation into the handling of classified documents during his time as vice president (2009-2017), but it left him in deep trouble. stopped in their assessment of their cognitive abilities.

Robert Hare, the prosecutor appointed by Donald Trump during his tenure, uncovered a political bombshell and although the age issue has already been questioned, the report portrays Biden as an old man with good intentions, limited abilities and delusions, creating an atmosphere that There is nothing pleasant. for the president.

Some Republican voices even call for the application of the 25th Amendment to the Constitution regarding succession in case of inability to discharge the powers and duties of office.

Everything so far remains in the scope of the reopened debate about the president’s mental acuity and his suitability for the November 5 presidential election. Neither he nor the Democratic Party has proposed a replacement candidate, a question that is not impossible, but unlikely.

(with information from PL)