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Diversity The Awards Circuit section is home to all awards news and related content throughout the year, including: Official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Diversity Senior Awards Editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current position in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, the contests are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Forecasts are updated every Thursday.
Visit the forecast pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
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Weekly Commentary (updated Jan 8, 2024): The Best Supporting Actress category can be described in one word: messy.
It’s not “messy” with the quality of talent in the race as there are more than a dozen powerhouse performers vying for recognition. That’s because, none other than Golden Globe winner Da’Vine Joey Randolph for “The Holdovers” seems “sure” for the slot.
People “Emily Blunt!” Before screaming as they read this on their computer or phone screens, I too feel good about our British star snagging her long overdue nomination for “Oppenheimer.” But we’ve been here before with Blunt (several times, in fact). Seeing “Ashchi” for her turns in “A Quiet Place,” “Mary Poppins Returns” and “The Devil Wears Prada,” the rug always seems to get pulled out from under us on nomination morning. Still, we stay the course and hope to call her name.
Besides that, the number of women predicted by pundits as the sole nominees for their respective films is raising some red flags. It is known that many members of the Academy do not watch many films. It often explains why you see films getting multiple nominations.
It’s not unprecedented for most acting lineups to include lone wolves — in actor, it last happened in 2007 (Ryan Gosling, Peter O’Toole, and eventual winner Forest Whitaker), and in actress, it was in 2014 (winners) Julianne Moore, Marion Cotillard, and Rosamund Pike). However, in supporting actress, you have to go back to the 1987 lineup that included Norma Aleandro (“Gabby: A True Story”), Anne Ramsey (“Throw Momma from the Train”) and Annie Sothern (“The Whale of August”). happens. ). This has never happened since the Best Supporting Actor category was created in 1938.
This echoes two safe options to follow when predicting a lineup: be limited to the number of single nominated performances, or predict additional nominations for their movies elsewhere.
Based on what is known so far, the only possibilities listed are Daniel Brooks or Taraji P. Henson (“The Color Purple”), Jodie Foster (“Nyad”), Rachel McAdams (“Are You God? It’s Me, Margaret” ) and Rosamund Pike (“Saltburn”). That doesn’t mean the films won’t pull in additional names elsewhere; Only where they are is a viable outcome.
The SAG Awards nominations to be announced Wednesday will address some of these questions.
Read: of diversity Awards Circuit for the latest Oscar predictions in all categories.
Last date of submission for general categories is November 15, 2023. Preliminary shortlisting for eight categories is December 14-18, with the announcement of results falling on December 21. The Oscar nomination period will run from January 11-16. 2024, with official nominees announced on January 23.
***The list below is not final and will be updated throughout the awards season.
And the hypothetical nominees are:
Other top-tier possibilities
Even in controversy
Character titles (alphabetized by studio)**
** This official list is incomplete, all release dates are not yet confirmed and subject to change.
2022 category winners: Jamie Lee Curtis, “Everything Everywhere All At Once” (A24)
Oscar Prediction Categories
Best Picture | Director | Best Actor | Best Actress | Supporting Actor | Supporting Actress | Original Screenplay | Adapted Screenplay | Animated feature | Production Design | Cinematography | Costume Design | Film editing | Makeup and Hairstyling | sound | Visual Effects | Original score | Original Song | Documentary Feature | International Feature | Animated Short | Documentary Short | Live action short
About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, are Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic awards in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented in a membership of about 10,000 persons. Disciplines include actors, collaborators, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentarians, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, Production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.
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