Subtropical Storm Nicole Heads for Florida – NBC 7 South Florida

MIAMI, Florida – Subtropical Storm Nicole formed Monday morning as the latest named system of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season and could impact Florida in the coming days.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported in its 11:00 a.m. bulletin on Monday that the system had maximum sustained winds of 45 miles per hour and was moving from north to northwest at 9 mph. while located 495 miles east of the Bahamas.

South Florida remains in the cone of the system’s track, which is forecast to move over the state Thursday night.

An extended period of severe weather is expected over the northwestern Bahamas, Florida, and the southeastern coast of the United States this week.

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A Hurricane Watch is in effect for:

  • Northwestern Bahamas
  • East coast of Florida from the Volusia/Brevard county line to
    Hallandale Beach
  • Lake Okeechobee

The Storm Surge Watch is in effect for:

  • Altamaha Sound to Hallandale Beach

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for:

  • Altamaha Sound south to the Volusia Brevard county line
  • Hallandale Beach north of Ocean Reef

The NHC says interests in the central Bahamas, Florida and along the southeastern coast of the United States should monitor Nicole’s progress.

November is the last month of hurricane season, and typically tropical activity begins to taper off. However, the 2022 hurricane season was pushed back and almost all of the impactful storms in the Atlantic this year formed after August.

The state of Florida has been hit nine times by tropical systems in November over the past 170 years, about a 5 percent chance in any given year.

Seven of those nine were from the Western Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico. That makes this week’s developing system, should it consolidate and hit Florida, pretty rare.

For now, the forecast indicates that the frequency and intensity of the rains will increase as we approach the middle of the week. It will become increasingly windy, with dangerous sea conditions and a high risk of rip currents.

According to analysis by meteorologist John Morales, winds and waves will combine with a full moon and rising sea levels made worse by climate change to produce significant coastal flooding. Communities like Fort Lauderdale, Miami Beach, Miami Shores, neighborhoods near Biscayne Boulevard including Edgewater, Coconut Grove, Coral Gables and the Florida Keys should prepare for flooding.

Flooding continues in Volusia County. In the Deltona area, residents also complain that they haven’t come to pick up much of the debris.

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